Hypertension remains one of the leading modifiable risk factors for cardiovascular disease and affects nearly half of adults in the United States. Despite the availability of effective treatments, achieving long-term blood pressure control remains a significant challenge for many patients. Through participation in the AIM-AHEAD CLINAQ Fellowship Program, Dhruvangi Sharma, PhD, of Georgia State University explored how artificial intelligence and machine learning (AI/ML) can be used to better understand the factors associated with successful hypertension outcomes and establish the foundation for future predictive modeling.
The project's primary objective was to develop a supervised AI/ML model capable of predicting successful hypertension outcomes, defined as the absence of clinical and subclinical cardiovascular disease among individuals with hypertension. Recognizing that hypertension is influenced by a combination of clinical, behavioral, psychosocial, demographic, and non-medical health factors, the project focused on identifying and organizing the data needed to support the development of a robust predictive model while documenting a reproducible AI/ML workflow that could be applied to similar datasets.
Study Design and Methods
The study used a retrospective analysis of two large cardiovascular research datasets: the Jackson Heart Study (JHS) and the Coronary Artery Risk Development in Young Adults (CARDIA) study. After obtaining the necessary institutional approvals and data use agreements, researchers evaluated both datasets to determine their suitability for developing a predictive AI model.
Participants eligible for analysis included adults aged 18 years or older with hypertension at baseline and no history of stroke, myocardial infarction, coronary artery disease, or chronic kidney disease. Candidate predictor variables were organized into five categories: demographic characteristics; biophysiological measures, including blood pressure, cholesterol, body mass index, and laboratory values; behavioral factors such as smoking, alcohol use, and physical activity; psychosocial factors including stress and depression; and non-medical health factors, including income, education, neighborhood characteristics, and insurance status.
The planned AI/ML workflow included data preparation, feature selection, preprocessing, model development, training, validation, and performance evaluation using supervised learning approaches, including linear regression, random forest, and XGBoost algorithms.
Preparing Research Data for AI
An important component of the project involved evaluating the readiness of large clinical research datasets for AI/ML applications. Researchers assessed four JHS cohorts containing 440 datasets and explored approximately 18,700 variables to identify those most relevant to predicting successful hypertension outcomes over a 10- to 12-year follow-up period. The CARDIA dataset included two cohorts with 644 datasets and more than 18,700 available variables, which were similarly reviewed to identify candidate predictors.
During the project, the research team encountered several technical challenges related to data access and preparation. Because the datasets were not directly compatible with the Seven Bridges PIC-SURE platform, data files required manual retrieval, decompression, and evaluation before analysis. Differences in file structures and data dictionary formats also required alternative approaches for variable assessment. Despite these challenges, the team successfully identified relevant study variables, documented the data preparation process, and established a workflow that can inform future AI/ML research using large clinical datasets.
Key Findings
Baseline analyses demonstrated that the Jackson Heart Study provides a strong foundation for investigating hypertension outcomes. Among 3,883 participants, 57.4% had hypertension at baseline, and more than half reported taking blood pressure medication. After applying inclusion and exclusion criteria, researchers identified an eligible cohort of participants with hypertension and no baseline cardiovascular disease for future predictive modeling.
The project also demonstrated that the Jackson Heart Study is well suited for examining hypertension and long-term cardiovascular outcomes, while the CARDIA dataset contains many relevant variables despite technical limitations that affected data extraction. Together, these findings support the feasibility of using large longitudinal datasets to develop AI/ML models that examine factors associated with successful hypertension management.
Implications for Research and Clinical Practice
This project highlights the importance of preparing high-quality research data before developing AI/ML models. Establishing standardized approaches for dataset evaluation, variable selection, and data preparation helps ensure that future predictive models are built on reliable and clinically meaningful information.
By documenting each step of the AI/ML development process, this work provides a framework that can be adapted for future studies using similar datasets. As predictive models continue to evolve, they may help researchers and healthcare organizations better understand the complex factors associated with successful hypertension management and support more informed clinical decision-making.
Recognition and Next Steps
During the fellowship, Dr. Sharma advanced this work through several research and professional achievements, including submission of an AIM-AHEAD Hub Specific Project grant proposal, participation in Georgia State University's Presidential Strategic AI Initiative, and recognition by the Georgia State University Office of the Vice President for Research for research funding achievements in 2025.
Building on this foundation, future efforts will focus on completing development and validation of the predictive AI model, expanding analyses across additional datasets, pursuing external funding opportunities, and evaluating how AI/ML approaches can be applied to other chronic disease research. Through continued collaboration and refinement of AI-ready research infrastructure, this work contributes to the growing use of AI/ML methods to support data-driven approaches for improving hypertension research and cardiovascular health.
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